Times change, though, and the modern world forbids such
a stance. Since World War II British integration into
the EU has been fitful and always awkward, and British
leaders have typically found it easier to associate
themselves with Washington and invoke the “special
relationship.” In recent times, though, the shadow
of Iraq makes that relationship ever less special in
the public mind, whilst European relations remain fraught
with problems, offering Britain no happy bedfellows
in the years ahead.
Britons
have always been suspicious of American motives, but
the “War on Terror” partnership has achieved
something new; it has turned this suspicion into a deeply
held conviction that being so close to the US gains
little and exposes Britain to ever-greater danger.
It
is instructive that in the aftermath of the London bombings
of July 7, many were fingering the American alliance
as a root cause. The Bush administration, meanwhile,
is an object of scorn, fear and ridicule in turn.
As for Europe, the Constitution is effectively dead,
the chances of Britain joining the Euro grow ever fainter,
and Britain’s attempts to reform the EU have only
served to increase tensions. The Atlantic Alliance,
meanwhile, leads many Europeans and particularly the
French to speak ever more disdainfully of the ‘Anglo-Americans.'
All this threatens to make a mockery of Tony Blair’s
early promises to straddle the Atlantic in a bold new
era.
These tensions are expressed in a palpable polarization
of media opinion. The Rupert Murdoch-led conservative
media pour scorn an alleged EU bureaucracy, meddling
and abrogation of sovereignty, whilst invoking the threat
of terrorism as a cause to remain at Washington’s
side. The relatively liberal media, including much of
the BBC and newspapers such as the Guardian and NewStatesman,
tend to extol the benefits of close ties with Europe,
while never tiring of criticizing the faults and dangers
of being ‘too close’ to the US.
In politics, the Labour party yearns to distance itself
from the US, but is held back by Tony Blair’s
personal dominance of the British government. The divided
Conservative party shows signs of realizing that it
could gain many voters, as did the Liberal Democrats,
by openly opposing the American embrace. If the next
election returned a Conservative government –
and increasingly plausible outcome – it is likely
that the Conservatives would add to their traditional
Euro-skepticism a hostility towards the US, at least
as long as the ‘neo-conservatives’ hold
power. Either way, when Tony Blair steps down, a drastic
change in the British government’s public relationship
with the US can be expected.
As long as the British people see so little worth in
either relationship, and considerable disadvantages
to both, it seems the ‘islander mentality’
may be set to grow once more. Culturally, Britain will
remain loyal to both, but unless things improve it may
be that Britain decides that close political relationships
with such troublesome neighbors are more costly than
they are worth, and desire the Splendid Isolation of
Empire once more.